Week 5 NFL odds, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Vikings and Bengals

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SportsLine's advanced model has simulated every game in the Week 5 NFL schedule 10,000 times and locked in its NFL best bets today

Oct 11, 2026 at 6:46 am ET • 3 min read

The Week 5 NFL schedule has just one game featuring teams over .500 versus one another. Seahawks vs. 49ers has Seattle favored by 3 points at home, per the Week 5 NFL odds, while there's a litany of matchups pitting teams with losing records against each other. Chief among them is Texans vs. Titans (+7) as both are among the four winless squads left after Tampa won on Thursday versus Dallas. Other matchups include Steelers vs. Colts (+2.5), Lions vs. Cardinals (+5.5) and Bengals vs. Dolphins (+7) as Miami is, again, among the biggest Sunday underdogs according to the latest Week 5 NFL lines. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:

The day ends with an intriguing 'Sunday Night Football' matchup as the surging Falcons (-3) take on the Ravens without Lamar Jackson (ankle). The Falcons have won and covered in two straight, while the Ravens haven't covered since their season opener. All of the updated Week 5 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 5 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season on a 55-44 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at NFL betting sites could have seen strong returns.  

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 5 NFL odds and NFL betting lines and locked in betting picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

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Top Week 5 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 5 NFL picks for the best betting apps is that the Vikings (-2.5, 41.5) cover versus the Saints in a Sunday 1 p.m. ET kickoff. New Orleans will host, and being a home dog isn't a good thing for Saints backers. The team is just 1-5 ATS over its last six as a home underdog, and New Orleans coming off a short week won't help. The Vikings are quietly on a nine-game win streak dating back to last year and are 8-1 versus the line over this stretch. Minnesota's No. 1 scoring defense is projected to overwhelm New Orleans as the Vikings cover almost 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 5 NFL predictions: the Bengals (-7, 43.5) cover at the Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET in well over 50% of simulations. Miami has scored exactly one touchdown in every game as it has the 32nd-ranked scoring offense. In its first full game without De'Von Achane in Week 4, the Dolphins set or tied season lows in points, total yards and first downs, while setting season highs in punts and penalties. Even if Miami manages to get to the red zone, they'll encounter a roadblock as the Bengals have the No. 3 redzone defense. On offense, Joe Burrow leads the No. 5 passing offense, and his 132.8 career passer rating versus Miami is his highest versus any team. The model also forecasts 45 total points, with the Over hitting well over 50% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 5 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 5 NFL schedule and just revealed three A-rated spread picks, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what Week 5 NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three teams should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000, and find out.

Week 5 NFL betting odds, lines, spreads, scores

Get Week 5 NFL picks at SportsLine

Game	Spread	Total	Picks
Buccaneers at Cowboys (Thursday)			F: Bucs 24, Cowboys 16
Eagles at Jaguars (in London)	JAX -8	41.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Bears at Packers	CHI -1.5	46.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Bengals at Dolphins	CIN -7	43.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Browns at Jets	NYJ -2.5	39.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Texans at Titans	HOU -7	38	SEE PICKS HERE
Colts at Steelers	PIT -2.5	43.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Raiders at Patriots	NE -3.5	45.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Vikings at Saints	MIN -2.5	41.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Giants at Commanders	WAS -3.5	41.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Broncos at Chargers	DEN -3.5	42	SEE PICKS HERE
Lions at Cardinals	DET -5.5	54.5	SEE PICKS HERE
49ers at Seahawks	SEA -3	46.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Ravens at Falcons	ATL -3	43.5	SEE PICKS HERE
Bills at Rams (Monday)	LAR -3.5	54.5	SEE PICKS HERE