Meta’s golden cross is back, and history likes what comes next

Meta Platforms (META) triggered its seventh golden cross on Tuesday, according to Bluekurtic Market Insights, whose historical screen tracks signals after the 50-day moving average has remained below the 200-day average for at least 21 trading days.

The table showed seven cases, including the latest signal, leaving six completed historical observations. Meta was higher one month after all six, a 100% positive rate, although the sample is small. The average one-month gain was 9.3%, while the median was 8.2%, with returns ranging from 0.1% to 22.1%.

The six completed signals occurred on Aug. 5, 2013; June 12, 2018; April 3, 2019; June 3, 2020; March 2, 2023; and June 16, 2025. The average two-week gain was 4.6%, with five of six cases positive, while all six three-week returns were positive, averaging 5.3%.

Short-term performance was mixed. One-day returns were negative in three of the six cases, while the two-week return was negative once, following the 2013 signal. The average maximum loss during the one-month period was 2.6%, with the largest at 6.7% in 2013. The average maximum peak-to-trough drawdown during the month was 5.5%, with the largest at 10.8% in 2020.

Bluekurtic said Meta is less than 6% from its all-time high and that the "path of least resistance now is toward a new high."