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Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State prediction, odds, time: Week 9 Tuesday college football picks from proven model

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SportsLine's model revealed its best bets for Tuesday's Conference USA college football matchup of the Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears

• 2 min read

Teams looking to get back into the win column clash when the Sam Houston Bearkats face the Missouri State Bears in a Conference USA matchup on Tuesday night. Sam Houston is coming off a 30-24 loss to New Mexico State on Wednesday, while Missouri State dropped a 61-38 decision at Delaware on Oct. 20. Sam Houston (1-6, 0-3 C-USA), who have lost four in a row, are tied for ninth in the conference and are 0-3 on the road this season. Missouri State (2-5, 1-2 C-USA), who have lost four of five, are tied for sixth in the league and are 2-1 on their home field in 2026. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Mo. The Bears are 6-point favorites, with the over/under at 52.5 in the latest Sam Houston vs. Missouri State odds. Before making any Missouri State vs. Sam Houston picks, check out the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State odds

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State spread

Missouri State -6

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State over/under

52.5 points

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State money line 

Missouri State -215, Sam Houston +185

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State picks

See picks at SportsLine

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State streaming 

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Top Sam Houston vs. Missouri State predictions

After simulating Sam Houston vs. Missouri State 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under 51.5 points at betting apps. Two of the past three games have gone Under for Sam Houston, while three of the last four have done the same for Missouri State.

The model projects that Henry Belin IV throws for over 225 yards and two touchdowns for Missouri State. Landyn Locke, meanwhile, is projected to throw for 230 yards and a pair of scores.

The computer is calling for 51 combined points as the Under is the value side 54% of the time. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.

How to make Sam Houston vs. Missouri State picks

In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Sam Houston vs. Missouri State, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's on a 68-59 run on top-rated CFB picks, and find out.

Why you should trust SportsLine's model

SportsLine's model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on all top-rated college football picks at betting sites, returning nearly $400 for $100 players. Anybody following its picks on college football betting sites could have seen strong returns. 

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