Trump insists Republicans ‘have a shot’ in midterms as rallies resume amid health concerns

President Donald Trump on Friday insisted Republicans “have a shot” at success in the US midterms despite a feverish end to the campaign for elections that will decide control of Congress.

Trump reversed course and reinstated two rallies in Kansas and Iowa a day after cancelling them, a move which had raised questions about his health and about the state of the race.

“There’s such love in these all over the country,” Trump said, referring to his rallies, before rattling off a series of insults against Democratic candidates vying for House and Senate seats in the November 3 elections.

Speaking late on Friday to a crowd in Daytona, Florida, Trump said the rallies were being held “for one very simple reason: to stop America-hating communists from taking over the United States Congress”.

Trump reiterated his promise to give every adult American citizen US$5,000 if Republicans retained control of both Congressional chambers. Experts have questioned whether he has the legal authority to do that.

Earlier in the day, Trump acknowledged to reporters that sitting presidents’ parties often suffered in midterm elections.

“I think we have a shot at doing well. Maybe very well, but you know, pretty well,” he added.

Trump said that he had cancelled the two events to hold virtual rallies but that Republicans in Iowa and Kansas called “and they said if you could go, it would be better than a tele-rally”.

But the 80-year-old’s comments were far from a robust assessment of Republican chances in next Tuesday’s vote.

Republicans are defending their 53-47 majority in the Senate, while Democrats are seeking to capture at least one chamber of Congress and curb Trump’s legislative agenda during his final two years in office.

Trump has put himself at the centre of the Republicans’ midterm strategy, hoping it will fire up his Maga (Make America Great Again) base.

But Trump’s dismal approval ratings and public anger over the Iran war and the cost of living may be a drag on Republican chances.

Trump, who complained of losing his voice earlier this week, had lashed out on Thursday when he was asked if he was scrapping the Kansas trip because he was “sick of travelling”.

“I feel perfect,” Trump snapped, saying he no longer needed to visit Kansas because Republican Senator Roger Marshall was “doing very well”.

But Trump’s about-face was likely the result of the questions over the energy levels of America’s oldest-ever elected president, political strategist Mike Fahey said.

“My suspicion is that Trump didn’t particularly like that narrative, and putting the events back on the calendar was the fastest way to kill it,” said Fahey, a veteran of multiple election campaigns.

Both Kansas and Iowa voted comfortably for Trump in 2024, but have emerged as unexpected battlegrounds for Republicans.

A record 47.9 million Americans have already voted in the US midterms, with participation surging in key battleground states and registered Democrats outpacing Republicans, figures showed on Friday.

The surge is especially pronounced in states with fiercely contested Senate races.

Among the early midterm voters is Pope Leo, the Catholic Church’s first US-born pontiff – the first known time a pope has voted in a political election.

The head of the world’s 1.4 billion Catholics, who has clashed with Trump, submitted his mail-in ballot in Chicago, the Vatican said on Friday.

Trump has urged Republicans to “pretend I’m on the ballot” in the midterms, pointing to his presidential election wins in 2016 and 2024 which largely defied the polls.

He has stepped up harsh rhetoric against migrants, Muslims and transgender people.

Trump has also repeatedly warned that he would face a third impeachment if Republicans lose, although Democrats might be more likely to focus on the 2028 presidential election.

Democrats, meanwhile, fear Trump will not accept a Republican loss in the midterms – as he did in the 2020 presidential election – after he recently ramped up claims of voter fraud.

“We had a rigged election in 2020. We cannot ever let that happen again,” Trump said in an interview with the KCMO radio station in Kansas City.

Around the time Trump was speaking in Florida late on Friday, a federal court in California temporarily blocked US justice officials from intimidating local election officials as the US Justice Department issues directives around the processing of ballots.