2026 Mexico Open odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

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SportsLine's model simulated the VidantaWorld Mexico Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks for the FedEx Cup Fall event

Oct 27, 2026 at 8:01 am ET • 4 min read

The FedEx Cup Fall continues on Thursday with the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta in Vallarta, Mexico. The purse is $6 million, and 500 FedEx Cup Fall points are on the line. This event became part of the PGA Tour in 2022 and its past winners are Jon Rahm, Tony Finau, Jake Knapp and Brian Campbell. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:

The 2026 Mexico Open odds from FanDuel Sportsbook list Wyndham Clark -- the No. 5 player in the world -- as the favorite at +1200. Other PGA contenders this week include Tom Kim (+1800), Doug Ghim (+1800) and Ben James (+2000). Before locking in any 2026 Mexico Open picks, be sure to see the 2026 Mexico Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. 

Now that the 2026 Mexico Open field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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2026 Mexico Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for: It is is not high on Marco Penge even though he's among the favorites at +2200, projecting that he doesn't even finish in the top 10. He's a golfer to avoid this week. Penge doesn't have any finishes higher than T10 since March of this season and is coming off a T68 finish at the Bank of Utah Championship earlier this month -- an event with a similar caliber of field. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: The model is high on Ben James at +2000, saying he's a top-two win contender and a value top-5 bet. The 23-year-old out of the University of Virginia had a strong second half of the year, highlighted by a top-25 at the U.S. Open. He also finished T15 or better at the ISCO Championship, the Corales Puntacana Championship, the Wyndham Championship, the Biltmore Championship Asheville and the Bank of Utah Championship. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2026 Mexico Open picks

The model is also targeting a massive longshot of around +3500 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here. 

Who will win the 2026 Mexico Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Mexico Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 Mexico Open odds, field

Get full 2026 Mexico Open picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Wyndham Clark +1200
Tom Kim +1800
Doug Ghim +1800
Ben James +2000
Marco Penge +2200
Johnny Keefer +2200
Ben Griffin +2200
Corey Conners +2700
Max Homa +3300
Andrew Novak +3300
Harry Hall +3500
Kristoffer Ventura +3500
Blades Brown +3500
Neal Shipley +4000
Jackson Suber +4000
Jordan Smith +4000
David Ford +4000
Zach Bauchou +4000
Keita Nakajima +4500
Rico Hoey +4500
Luke Clanton +4500
Taylor Moore +5000
Kevin Roy +5000
Trace Crowe +5500
Kevin Yu +5500
Mac Meissner +6000
Pierceson Coody +6000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +6000
Beau Hossler +6500
Austin Eckroat +6500
Steven Fisk +6500
Gordon Sargent +6500
Billy Horschel +6500
Mackenzie Hughes +6500
Max Greyserman +7000
Lee Hodges +7000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000
Tony Finau +7000
Rasmus Højgaard +7000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +7000
Isaiah Salinda +8000
Haotong Li +8000
Emiliano Grillo +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Aldrich Potgieter +8000
Taylor Pendrith +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Chan Kim +8000
Jesper Svensson +8000
Chandler Phillips +10000
Karl Vilips +10000
Patrick Fishburn +10000
Kihei Akina +10000
William Mouw +10000
Max McGreevy +10000
Alvaro Ortiz +10000
Takumi Kanaya +10000
Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000
Zecheng Dou +10000
John Parry +10000
Zac Blair +10000
A.J. Ewart +10000
Hayden Springer +10000
Alejandro Tosti +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Erik van Rooyen +12500
Nick Dunlap +15000
John VanDerLaan +15000
Ryder Cowan +15000
Chandler Blanchet +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Chad Ramey +15000
Danny Walker +15000
Brice Garnett +17500
Dylan Wu +17500
Ben Silverman +17500
Joel Dahmen +17500
Matthieu Pavon +17500
Justin Lower +17500
Garrick Higgo +17500
Trent Phillips +17500
Kevin Streelman +17500
Andrew Putnam +22500
Mark Hubbard +22500
Pontus Nyholm +22500
David Lipsky +22500
Harry Higgs +22500
Joe Highsmith +22500
Brian Campbell +22500
Will Gordon +25000
David Skinns +25000
Adam Svensson +25000
Paul Peterson +25000
Aaron Wise +25000
Jeffrey Kang +35000
Hank Lebioda +35000
Tyler Duncan +35000
Peter Malnati +35000
Vince Whaley +50000
Omar Morales +50000
Jimmy Stanger +50000
Davis Chatfield +50000
Ben Martin +50000
Gerardo Gomez +75000
Santiago de la Fuente +75000
C.T. Pan +75000
Rafael Campos +75000
Patton Kizzire +75000
Garrett Endicott +100000
Marcelo Rozo +100000
Mauricio Figueroa Ramirez +100000
Christo Lamprecht +100000
Aaron Baddeley +100000
John Daly II +100000
Cameron Tankersley +100000
Camilo Villegas +100000
Tayler Termeer +100000
Alejandro Fierro +100000
Kensei Hirata +100000
Eli Ortego +100000