BC Conservatives ahead of NDP after snap election call: poll

Posted September 25, 2026 12:27 pm

2 min read

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As the snap election gets underway, a new poll suggests the public could be souring on NDP Leader David Eby and the party.

Forty-three per cent of leaning and decided voters in the Angus Reid poll released Thursday said they intend to vote for the BC Conservatives, up six points in just nine days.

As recently as 10 days ago, a poll found that the BC NDP had a slim four-point advantage over the BC Conservatives.

The BC NDP are now down six points at 35 per cent while the Greens are at 12 per cent.

Sixty-five per cent of respondents say Eby is putting staying in power over the province’s interests while 21 per cent disagree.

The timing of the snap election may be contributing to the backlash.

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Two-thirds of the province say it’s “too soon” to be going to the polls, including 71 per cent of BC Conservative voters while half of BC NDP voters, 52 per cent, say that as well.

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One-in-five people polled said they are still undecided about their vote choice and 35 per cent say they are “very certain” about which party they will support.

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However, as Angus Reid president Shachi Kurl points out, not all of the data is good news for the BC Conservatives.

“What’s really notable here is that despite the fact that the BC Conservatives have a not-insignificant lead over the BC NDP, you still have about half of British Columbians expressing concern that they’re not ready to govern,” she said.

“And that includes about a fifth of their own party, their own base.”

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Thirty-three per cent of poll respondents said they had a favourable view of Eby, while 61 per cent have an unfavourable view.

Twenty-five per cent view interim BC Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson favourably, 36 per cent unfavourably and 40 per cent don’t know enough about him to have an opinion.

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) conducted an online survey from Sept. 22 to 24, 2026, among a randomized sample of 801 British Columbian adults. Respondents are drawn from the Angus Reid Forum. The sample was weighted to be representative of adults nationwide according to region, gender, age, household income, and education, based on the Canadian census.

For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/– 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding. The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI.