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Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Gold slips as investors weigh Fed rate outlook

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Gold slipped in early Asian trading on Tuesday as investors awaited the US Federal Reserve policy decision next week for signals on interest rates and the broader outlook for monetary policy.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold fell 0.3% to $4,126.84 per ounce by 0102 GMT, while US gold futures for December delivery dropped 0.3% to $4,146.00.

* Investor focus has shifted to ​the Fed's October 27-28 policy meeting and next week's US ​Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, a key gauge closely watched ⁠by the central bank as it targets 2% inflation.

* The US ​central bank in September raised its benchmark overnight interest rates by 25 ​basis points to the 3.75%-4.00% range.

* According to CME's FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in an 83% chance that the central bank will leave rates largely ​unchanged next week, while expectations for a hike in December remain ​at 94%.

* Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said underlying inflation is "quite close" to ‌the ⁠central bank's 2% target with strong global AI demand adding to inflationary pressure from a tight job market, signalling scope for further rate increases.

* Higher interest rates typically weigh on gold prices because they ​increase the opportunity ​cost of holding ⁠bullion, which does not pay interest.

* On the geopolitical front, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they carried ​out several attacks against Saudi energy, airport and military ​targets.

* ⁠Among other metals, spot silver slid 0.7% to $56.69 per ounce, platinum steadied at $1,639.65 and palladium dropped 0.7% to $1,112.08.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)
0100China Loan Prime Rate 1Y, 5Y, October
0600UK ⁠Claimant ​Count Unem Chng, September
0600UK ILO Unemployment Rate, ​August
0600UK HMRC Payrolls Change, September
0900Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment, October
0900Germany ZEW current Conditions, October
1230US Housing ​Starts Number, September

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