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Friday, October 16, 2026

台積電法說會好消息不斷! 4大外資上修目標價最高至3850元

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〔記者卓怡君/台北報導〕護國神山台積電(2330)昨日法說會好消息不斷,除了第三季獲利創下新高,台積電總裁魏哲家也上修今年全年美元營收成長預估至約44%,為今年第三次調高成長目標,並強調AI加速器成長率超乎原本估計,客戶還在持續加單,需求遠大於供給,台積電將持續擴產,每一筆可能的生意都要拿下,外資對於台積電表現按讚,4大外資在台積電法說會後同步調高目標價,最高上修至3850元。

美系外資指出,台積電管理層對AI需求的看法依然非常樂觀。儘管台積電並未正式更新AI加速器營收的長期年複合成長率(CAGR)預測,但管理層表示,該成長率很可能進一步提高,並指出目前需求極為強勁,尚未出現放緩跡象,且需求仍遠遠超過供給,其中代理式 AI(Agentic AI)帶動額外的 CPU 需求,此類需求並未納入台積電對AI加速器的定義,因此除了原先預估的AI加速器營收 CAGR 外,還可能帶來額外的成長空間;開源模型採用範圍持續擴大,開源模型降低AI的使用門檻,進一步推升對先進製程晶片的需求;同時,網通晶片需求持續強勁,除了AI加速器之外,市場對網路通訊晶片的需求也持續成長。

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