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Thursday, November 12, 2026

Oscar Predictions: Film Editing — ‘You Can See Everything’ Looks to Crash a Race of Past Winners and Become the Third Documentary Ever Nominated

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change in response to buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Zendaya in “Dune: Part Three” and Lupita Nyong’o in “The Odyssey“ Warner Bros. / Universal Pictures

Best Film Editing Predictions Commentary (Updated: Nov. 12, 2026): Oscar-winning editors are occupying these early days of the Oscar race.

Jennifer Lame (“Oppenheimer”) leads with “The Odyssey,” followed by Joe Walker for the still yet-to-be-seen “Dune: Part Three” (he won for “Dune” and was also nominated for “12 Years a Slave” and “Arrival”). On their heels is Mikkel E.G. Nielsen (“Sound of Metal”), who was also nominated for “The Banshees of Inisherin” and is reunited with Martin McDonagh on “Wild Horse Nine.”

Two-time nominee Yorgos Mavropsaridis (“The Favourite,” “Poor Things”) and Anthony Boys, who would be a first-time nominee, round out the early favorites with “The Invite.” After becoming a box-office smash, Adam Locke-Norton is in the conversation with the three-hour nonfiction epic “You Can See Everything.” He would be the third person to garner a nomination for film editing, after “Woodstock” (1970) earned nominations for editing (and sound), and “Hoop Dreams” (1994).

The billion-dollar biopic “Michael” is on the cusp a massive editing team that includes past winners John Ottman (“Bohemian Rhapsody”), Tom Cross (“Whiplash”) and Conrad Buff IV (“Titanic”) plus “Minari” nominee Harry Yoon.

Potential first-timers include Alberto Gutiérrez (“La Bola Negra”), Joel Negron (“Project Hail Mary”), Sam Seig (“I Play Rocky”), Fin Oates (“Ink”) and Curry Barker (“Obsession”) and more.

Check out the first official ranked predictions below. The list of predictions in all categories can be found here.

The Governors Awards, which will hand out honorary Oscars to Glenn Close and Ridley Scott, will take place Sunday, Nov. 15. Preliminary voting for the Oscars shortlist in 12 categories runs Dec. 7-11, with the shortlist announcement to follow Tuesday, Dec. 15. Following the close of the eligibility period on Dec. 31, 2026, nominations voting will run Jan. 11-15, 2027. The official Oscar nominations will be announced on Thursday, Jan. 21, 2027. The 99th Oscars will take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027 and will be hosted by Conan O’Brien. The ceremony airs live at 7 p.m. ET on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide from the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood.

Jaafar Jackson as Michael Jackson in Michael. Photo Credit: Courtesy of Lionsgate Courtesy of Lionsgate
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