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Monday, October 19, 2026

What Earth's sixth mass extinction event means for humans

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From the tiniest microbes in the human gut to giant whales in the ocean, biodiversity is the sum of all life on the planet. It's another word for nature. And because nature is like a team, every player has a job.

When various species from trees to animals work together, they regulate weather, maintain soil health, purify water and support food production. These benefits are known as ecosystem services and they underpin human wellbeing.

"It is really an abstract concept, but we experience it absolutely every day," said Rebecca Shaw, chief scientist at conservation group WWF "And we almost never think about it when nature is functioning."

A photo of two women looking at fruit and veg at a market
Without biodiversity, the variety of food humans eat would not be available. Declining biodiversity is endangering crop productionImage: Burak Kara/Getty Images

But as it declines, she and other scientists are calling on the world to really think about it. Because biodiversity is struggling as humans push ecosystems to the brink through intensive farming, burning fossil fuels,and pollution from sources like plastic and chemicals. 

Over the past 52 years, monitored vertebrate populations have collapsed by an average of 73%, while freshwater ecosystems are faring worst with a drop of 85%, according to WWF's recent Living Planet report. 

It tallies with other studies that show a million animal and plant species face extinction unless humanity reduces its pressure on nature.

"It is a really steep decline," said Shaw. "What it's telling us is that nature is in trouble, and it's an early warning indicator of the fabric of life that we depend on for freshwater and food and for clean air is unravelling."

Destroyed forest
Deforestation directly drives biodiversity decline because forests are home to more than 80% of all land-based speciesImage: Juancho Torres/AA/picture alliance

Thousands of policymakers, business leaders and civil society groups are meeting in Yerevan, Armenia over the next two weeks for COP17, the latest UN biodiversity summit, to advance commitments to reverse nature loss by 2030. But progress towards those targets remains insufficient, with funding and implementation among the biggest challenges.

What happens when ecosystem services decline or disappear? 

Take wetlands as an example. Some 85% of these vital ecosystems disappeared between 1700 and 2000. One study from Canada's University of Waterloo found that habitats like marshes and swamps in Southern Ontario provide C$4.2 billion (€2.63 billion) worth of water filtration services each year, removing nutrients like phosphorus and keeping drinking water sources clean.

The study found that as they disappear, water quality worsens, which massively increases the cost of treating it.

Another example is the decline in pollinators like bees and bats. More than 75% of global food crop types rely in part on animal pollination.

Why climate change is driving species loss

At the same time, soil and ecosystem degradation coupled with storms and heat waves linked to climate change are already damaging harvests. A recent UK government report stated that every critical ecosystem is on a "pathway to collapse," warning that nature's decline posed a grave threat to global food supply and geopolitical stability. 

"The UK, like many other countries, relies on imports for much of the food and so is reliant on ecosystems around the world," said Louise McRae, a research fellow at the Zoological Society of London, who also contributed to WWF's Living Planet report. "This is why we need to care about global biodiversity."

It also provides the basis for many modern human medicines, with some 50% coming from natural compounds.

A close of a red dart poison frog
Poisonous frogs could be a source for new medications but as species disappear we could be missing out on novel drugsImage: Al Carrera/Zoonar/picture alliance

Penicillin, the first antibiotic, is produced by a mold and is estimated to have saved over 500 million lives. Before its discovery, a person could die from a simple cut. Around 70% of cancer drugs come from natural products or synthetic compounds "inspired by nature," according to the World Health Organisation (WHO).

As biodiversity disappears, humans risk losing access to undiscovered treatments.

Does it really matter if one species disappears?

To return to the "nature as a team" metaphor, if a player disappears, sometimes a species with similar functions in the ecosystem can jump in as a substitute. But not always, particularly if it's a "keystone species." They play a disproportionately large role in their environments, and their disappearance has significant knock-on effects. 

The oyster is one such species. Wild oyster populations are facing massive declines, while 85% of their reefs have been lost worldwide. An adult oyster filters up to 50 gallons of water a day.

"No one would ever think, they did anything but sit in a shell and be slimy," said Shaw. "But you lose oysters, you can lose water filtration and clean water, you can lose the habitat for many other species that we interact with or sometimes consume."

Three women in a boat harvesting oysters
People around the world rely on oysters and other marine life for their livelihoods and as a food source. Oysters are also a keystone speciesImage: Misper Apawu/AP Photo/picture alliance

And, said Shaw, the humble oyster protects coastal communities from storm surges. If you lose it "you lose the coastal protection."

The loss of a single species can also lead to more disease. One study suggests a decline in red foxes in North America is linked to the spread of Lyme disease, a tick-borne illness that also impacts humans.    

Is humanity living through a sixth mass extinction and is it too late to prevent it? 

The planet has experienced five mass extinctions when a large proportion of species globally disappeared over a short geological period. Extinction is a natural process. But the rate at which species are disappearing today, suggests Earth is experiencing a sixth event, driven largely by human activity, according to scientists. 

Both McRae and Shaw called the declines extremely worrying, but said they shouldn't provoke despair. 

Though she acknowledges that the underlying global trend is moving in the wrong direction and cannot be ignored, McRae says "the statistics are there to just motivate us to action rather than to cause alarm."

And the Living Planet report also highlights conservation successes, showing that nature can recover. 

The number of green sea turtles, for example, had fallen significantly, but has now bounced back. This is thanks to a massive worldwide effort to protect nesting beaches and changes to fishing practices that reduce accidental capture.

An otter floating in the water. It's eating a mussel
Since sea otters on the North American Pacific Coast have rebounded, so too have kelp forestsImage: Malcolm Schuyl/FLPA/imageBROKER/picture alliance

Sea otters are another example. Prized for their fur, in the 1800s they were hunted to near extinction on the US Pacific Coast. When they disappeared, it meant sea urchins had no predators, leaving them free to decimate kelp forests. 

That matters because as well as providing habitat for other species, these giant underwater groves protect coastlines from storm surges and absorb carbon, making them important for climate protection. 

Following a ban on commercial hunting, sea otters have also rebounded, helping kelp forests recover. 

"You can see that ripple effect that really had an obvious and a measurable impact. But critically, it can be reversed," said McRae, adding that biodiversity loss and climate change are intertwined and exacerbate each other but have joint solutions. 

"We're learning how to turn things around at very small scales," said Shaw. "Now the real challenge is to turn things around at very big scale so we can see it in the global indicators."

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