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Sunday, September 20, 2026

Germany: Polls open in two key state elections

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz delivers his speech during a campaign event for conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party's lead candidate for the Berlin state election at the CDU headquarters in Berlin, on September 17, 2026
Merz has been under pressure amid a surge by the far-right AfDImage: John Macdougall/AFP
Skip next section What you need to know

What you need to know

We're expecting exit polls at around 16.00 GMT. Follow along here for all the highs and lows today:

Skip next section Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania election guide: What you need to know

September 20, 2026

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania election guide: What you need to know

Manuela Schwesig (SPD) and Leif-Erik Holm (AfD) participate in a TV debate ahead of elections
Manuela Schwesig (SPD) and Leif-Erik Holm (AfD) participate in a TV debateImage: Jens Büttner/dpa/picture alliance

In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the fight is between the Social Democrats (SPD) led by the popular Manuela Schwesig and the far-right Altnerative for Germany (AfD).

The 52-year-old Schwesig has made it her mission to beat back the advance of the AfD, which is polling at around 37%, ahead of the SPD at 33%.

"The situation is serious," Schwesig told DW recently. "The AfD would harm our economy; they would harm our social cohesion. Their crude way of speaking, their hate and incitement, is tearing our society apart; there's a renewed propensity for violence, and that will affect us women in particular."

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is a largely rural state in Germany's east
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is a largely rural state in Germany's northeastImage: Tasneem Zahra/DW

What to watch out for in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania

Besides keeping tabs on whether the AfD comes out on top, all eyes are also on how the CDU performs in the state.

CDU is the conservative Christian Democratic Union party that is chaired by the chancellor of the country, Friedrich Merz.

His party is polling at around 7% in the state, which is slightly above the 5% threshold required by a party to enter state parliament.

In the 2021 elections, the CDU had just 13.3% of the vote. 

If the CDU fails to achieve the 5% threshold, there's going to be immense pressure on Merz to fight for his job.

Who are the main candidates?

SPD: Manuela Schwesig, also the incumbent state premier.

AfD: Leif-Erik Holm is the AfD's candidate for state premier, whom the party would put forward to head the state government if it can form one, while Enrico Schult is the AfD's candidate leading the party's election campaign in the state. Holm is the better-known candidate out of the two.

CDU: Daniel Peters, who has been the chair of the CDU parliamentary group in the state parliament.

The Left (Die Linke): Simon Oldenburg, who is the current minister for education in the state.

What's the likeliest scenario?

Even if the AfD comes out on top in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, that's not a guarantee that it will govern the state.

In Germany's parliamentary system, a party needs a majority in the state parliament or coalition partners to elect a state premier.

That means that the AfD could be pushed to the sidelines if other parties reject cooperation with it under the so-called "firewall" policy

https://p.dw.com/p/5MqwV

Skip next section Berlin election guide: What you need to know

September 20, 2026

Berlin election guide: What you need to know

Berlin's lampposts are covered in campaign posters
Berlin's lampposts are covered in campaign postersImage: Jens Kalaene/dpa/picture alliance

The campaign so far has been dominated by a battle between the far-left Left Party and Chancellor Friedrich Merz's center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU)

Both parties are neck and neck, according to polling in recent weeks.

If Merz's party wins the elections, that'll be good news for the chancellor, whose popularity has taken a big hit, especially following state elections in Saxony-Anhalt two weeks ago, where the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) trounced the CDU.

Seventeen parties are contesting the election in Berlin, including the Left Party and the CDU. The four other major parties are the AfD — which has consistently polled in third place —, the environmentalist Green Party, the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the left-wing, populist Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW).

What is the top issue for Berlin voters?

With the German capital struggling with a severe housing shortage in a city where 85% rent their homes, housing and rental costs are voters' top concerns.

Advertised rents have doubled since 2014, and the city needs 211,000 more homes by 2040.

So far, the Left Party has been the only major party that has promised to act on a 2021 referendum when 59% of Berliners voted to have the government take control of apartments from the biggest landlords to protect rents.

For the AfD, Berlin's housing crisis has fed into its argument for restricting immigration that has driven support for the party.

Who are the main candidates?

  • CDU: Stefan Evers is the CDU's lead candidate after the outgoing mayor, Kai Wegner, withdrew from the race. 
Stefan Evers is fairly well known because he's Berlin's finance chief
Stefan Evers is fairly well known because he's Berlin's finance chiefImage: Stefan Zeitz/IMAGO
  • The Left Party (Die Linke): Elif Eralp will be leading her party into an election as its lead candidate for the first time. She was born in Munich to Turkish parents. She has been compared to Zohran Mamdani, the democratic socialist who won the New York City mayor race following his campaign around an affordability agenda for residents of his city.
Elif Eralp could be the next mayor of Berlin if her party wins elections
Eralp could become the first mayor of Berlin with immigrant rootsImage: Jan Woitas/dpa/picture alliance
  • The Greens (Die Grünen): The Greens are fielding a two-person team consisting of Bettina Jarasch and Werner Graf.
  • AfD (Alternative for Germany): Kristin Brinker has campaigned on issues of crime and immigration.
  • SPD: Steffen Krach, who has experience working in the Berlin city government and was until recently a top politician in Hanover, the capital of Lower Saxony.

https://p.dw.com/p/5MpaQ

Skip next section Germany's state elections and the fate of Chancellor Merz: What to know

September 20, 2026

Germany's state elections and the fate of Chancellor Merz: What to know

German Chancellor and Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader Friedrich Merz speaks during a CDU election campaign rally for his party's top candidate Stefan Evers before state elections in Berlin
Merz made a last ditch appeal to Berlin voters at a CDU event this weekImage: Fabrizio Bensch/REUTERS

Chancellor Friedrich Merz made a rare campaign appearance for his Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at an event in Berlin on Thursday but has largely stayed away from the campaign trail.

In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the CDU might even fail to make the 5% threshold required to enter parliament. 

At the national level, Merz's own approval ratings fell to as low as 14% earlier in the week , while the far-right AfD has surged to first place with 27-29%, according to opinion polls released earlier this week.

Merz's CDU was polling nationally at 18-20%.

The chancellor has been under mounting pressure over whether he's the right person for the job, amid frustration over the slow pace of his promised reforms and the rise of the AfD.

Merz insisted this week that he's still committed to leading the nation and his governing coalition with the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD).

"I was elected for four years and I want to use this time to solve problems," he said on Tuesday, insisting: "We have to prove that this ​can be achieved with ‌this coalition."

However, a YouGov survey released on Friday showed that around half of Germans don't expect Merz to still be chancellor by the end of the year. 

https://p.dw.com/p/5MqYw

Skip next section Welcome to our coverage

September 20, 2026

Welcome to our coverage

Guten Morgen and welcome to our coverage of elections in Berlin and the eastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.

Polling stations are open for voters to elect members of the state parliaments. There's also a third vote open to EU citizens for electing members of one of Berlin's 12 district or borough assemblies.

While the elections are regional, they are set to have a national impact, with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, whose popularity has severely dipped in recent weeks, struggling to keep his job.

That's due to a host of reasons, including the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) that secured a historic result with nearly 44% of the vote in elections two weeks ago in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt.

In Berlin, the race is tied between the Christian Democratic Party (CDU) and the Left Party (Die Linke). The AfD has consistently been polling third in Berlin, which is both the capital city and one of the country's 16 states.

In the northeastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the race is tied between the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the AfD. 

Stay tuned for the latest developments in these two crucial elections throughout the day.

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