Could 2026 rival 2007? Chaos at the top has made this season's title race unpredictable
Six top-2 teams have already fallen, fueling comparisons to 2007 and raising questions about whether parity is reshaping college football
• 4 min read
The 2007 college football season is the gold standard for chaotic years in the sport, as a top-2 ranking in the AP poll became a curse rather than a reward.
A top-2-ranked team in the AP poll lost in five consecutive weeks to end the 2007 season, which remains the all-time record, and, overall, either No. 1 or No. 2 in the country lost an astounding 11 times over the course of the season.
The period of relative stability at the top of the college football world that followed that legendary 2007 campaign made many wonder if we'd ever see anything like it again. Well, 19 years later, we have our hands on another season where the only certainty seems to be chaos at the top.
October 2026 will go down as a historic one. The five losses by AP top-2 teams are tied for the most in a single month since November 2007 -- October 2007 also saw four such losses -- and it's also the first time since November 2007 that the No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the AP poll finished the month with a losing record (4-5).
2007 vs. 2026
| 2007 | 2026 |
|---|---|
Week 3: No. 4 Texas 24, No. 1 Ohio State 23 | |
Week 7: Oklahoma 27, No. 1 Texas 24 | |
Week 7: Oregon State 31, No. 2 Cal 28 | |
Week 8: Rutgers 30, No. 2 South Florida 27 | Week 8: No. 8 BYU 28, No. 2 Notre Dame 24 |
Week 10: Florida State 27, No. 2 Boston College 17 | Week 9: UCF 39, No. 2 BYU 31 |
Week 11: Illinois 28, No. 1 Ohio State 21 | Week 10: USC 30, No. 2 Ohio State 18 |
??? | |
Week 13: Arkansas 50, No. 1 LSU 48 | ??? |
??? | |
| Week 14: No. 9 Oklahoma 38, No. 1 Missouri 17 | ??? |
| Week 14: Pittsburgh 13, No. 2 West Virginia 9 | ??? |
As the calendar turns to November, six different teams ranked No. 1 or No. 2 have lost, marking the most top-2 losses before November since 1984 -- 1981 is the only season with more top-2 losses before November (7). Five of those losses have come in the last four weeks, which means with another loss on Saturday, 2007 will suddenly have company for the most consecutive weeks with a top-2 team losing.
That possibility is not at all far-fetched considering what the schedule provides in Week 10. No. 1 Miami and No. 2 Georgia each go on the road to face a top-12 ranked opponent (No. 4 Notre Dame and No. 12 Ole Miss, respectively), meaning there is a very real chance the top of the polls get shaken up again going into Week 11.
The Hurricanes have already had to pull off late escapes against a pair of unranked opponents in recent weeks, while the Bulldogs showed their vulnerability in a stunning loss to Auburn after grabbing the No. 1 ranking. The lack of a clearly dominant top tier in the sport has created a void that no one can seemingly fill for very long at the top of the rankings.
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Chip Patterson
The anatomy of a chaos season
What makes the 2007 season stand out isn't just how many top-ranked teams lost, but some of the programs that put on their wings of wax and flew a bit too close to the sun. There were certainly blue-bloods and traditional powers like LSU, Ohio State and USC (and an early version of Oregon), but seeing Missouri, Kansas, South Florida, Boston College and West Virginia all grab a brief hold of a top-2 ranking made the season that much more fun.
The 2026 season hasn't quite reached that level yet, with Ohio State, Georgia, Notre Dame and Texas accounting for five of the losses, but we aren't that many steps away from getting there. Utah and UCLA are undefeated top-5 teams currently and could be in line to jump in if Miami or Georgia falls this weekend. Kentucky and Wake Forest are ranked No. 8 and No. 14 respectively, and if things get weird enough, perhaps a one-loss version of the Wildcats or Demon Deacons could sniff the top-2 -- not to mention we're all still getting used to "college football powerhouse Indiana" being part of this current reality.
There's also the importance of who is beating the top teams in fostering that sense of chaos. In 2007, eight of the 11 losses by top-2 teams came against unranked opponents. It wasn't a matter of the schedule presenting tons of ranked-on-ranked battles with the same teams cannibalizing each other. Instead, there was the feeling that every week something unexpected wasn't just possible but would happen.
The 2026 season has had a similar vibe, even with talent consolidating into the power conferences. The SEC and Big Ten make up most of the top 25, but this year has still seen four of the six top-2 losses come against unranked opponents. While Week 10 will present a pair of top-12 matchups for No. 1 and No. 2, there is a sense that the talent gap between the very top and the middle tier of college football is smaller than it's been in quite some time.
The era after 2007, dominated by Nick Saban at Alabama, saw the top teams consolidate talent on a few rosters. Now, while talent still finds its way to the top conferences, it's much harder to go two- or three-deep across the depth chart with elite players because it's easier than ever for players to find someone who will play them (and pay them) immediately.
Perhaps the best example of that is the backup-quarterback crisis across the sport, where teams rarely have a steady backup ready to go because a quality backup at an elite program typically lands a starting job somewhere in college football's middle class.
Whether the parity of this season is a trend to watch in college football going forward or just a wild outlier remains to be seen, but if nothing else, it has produced the most exciting and unpredictable season in nearly two decades. With a full month of football left to be played, there's still plenty of time for chaos to reign, and as the College Football Playoff committee gets set to begin its weekly rankings, nothing feels like a certainty.
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