Who will win 2026 Ballon d'Or? Latest odds as Harry Kane faces late Kylian Mbappe surge

England captain Harry Kane is the favourite to be named Ballon d’Or winner tonight, but the Bayern Munich striker faces stiff competition from Kylian Mbappe.

Kane is priced at 7/20 on Monday morning, with Mbappe the nearest challenger at odds of 2/1 after a remarkable late surge in the days leading up to the ceremony.

Real Madrid and France star Mbappe was 16/1 just a few days ago, and is now the clear second-favourite.

Lamine Yamal was briefly favourite after helping Spain to win the World Cup in the summer, while Kane grabbed six goals as England crashed out at the semi-final stage, but has drifted out to 9/2.

Both players starred as their respective clubs won their domestic leagues, Barcelona lifting La Liga and Bayern victorious in the Bundesliga.

Although both players have impressed in the opening stages of the 2026/27 campaign, performances this season are not considered for the 2026 award according to the Ballon d’Or’s selection criteria.

The 30 nominees are ranked on three criteria, with a player’s ‘individual performances, decisive and impressive character’ given the most weight.

Then nominees’ team performances and club titles won are considered, before voters weigh up ‘class and fair play’.

Other contenders include eight-time winner Lionel Messi and 2024 Ballon d’Or recipient Rodri , both at 40/1.

2026 Ballon d’Or winner odds

Harry Kane: 7/20

Kylian Mbappe: 2/1

Lamine Yamal: 9/2

Lionel Messi: 40/1

Rodri: 40/1

Erling Haaland: 100/1

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: 100/1

Michael Olise: 100/1

Ousmane Dembele: 100/1

Bruno Fernandes: 100/1

Achraf Hakimi: 100/1

Declan Rice: 100/1

Vitinha: 100/1

Fabian Ruiz: 100/1

Gabriel Magalhaes: 100/1

Joao Neves: 100/1

Nuno Mendes: 100/1

Vinicius Jr.: 100/1

Marc Cucurella: 100/1

Marquinhos: 100/1

Jude Bellingham: 125/1

Luis Diaz: 125/1

William Saliba: 125/1

Pau Cubarsi: 125/1

William Pacho: 125/1

Julian Quinones: 125/1

Sadio Mane: 125/1

(Odds via Sky Bet, subject to change.)

Follow the 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony live on Standard Sport!